Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.617981 0.701034 0.789645 0.891059 1.003743 1.124939 1.264977
2025-08-31 0.484061 0.597828 0.728215 0.888014 1.077844 1.295369 1.562682
2025-09-07 0.396354 0.529818 0.693203 0.906243 1.174802 1.500066 1.921525
2025-09-14 0.318954 0.460065 0.643995 0.898142 1.236533 1.667478 2.252981
2025-09-21 0.266457 0.412735 0.614819 0.909239 1.321020 1.869324 2.645877
2025-09-28 0.218099 0.362169 0.572713 0.895335 1.367911 2.023726 2.988649
2025-10-05 0.193109 0.341268 0.568856 0.933338 1.488989 2.287816 3.501699
2025-10-12 0.171949 0.322397 0.564617 0.968814 1.608096 2.557231 4.042202
2025-10-19 0.148989 0.296356 0.544912 0.976718 1.684439 2.768156 4.511428
2025-10-26 0.129079 0.271979 0.524085 0.979239 1.750801 2.967014 4.974640
2025-11-02 0.112284 0.250234 0.504401 0.980446 1.813560 3.162969 5.444722
2025-11-09 0.097818 0.230314 0.484953 0.979050 1.870444 3.351852 5.914119
2025-11-16 0.085828 0.213539 0.469499 0.983765 1.939485 3.567845 6.446295
2025-11-23 0.074073 0.195041 0.448084 0.974679 1.982795 3.743434 6.923333
2025-11-30 0.066396 0.184183 0.440377 0.990728 2.072713 4.004384 7.560146
2025-12-07 0.057430 0.168484 0.420278 0.979609 2.110269 4.175519 8.052617
2025-12-14 0.051358 0.158657 0.411371 0.990064 2.189523 4.425675 8.697617
2025-12-21 0.044289 0.144723 0.391167 0.974122 2.214907 4.578435 9.177171
2025-12-28 0.041584 0.142063 0.396685 1.014407 2.356451 4.955533 10.083978
2026-01-04 0.038949 0.139062 0.400934 1.052153 2.495488 5.335859 11.016642
2026-01-11 0.035040 0.131452 0.392705 1.060383 2.572970 5.602139 11.750221
2026-01-18 0.031322 0.123567 0.382589 1.062920 2.638105 5.847674 12.456872
2026-01-25 0.027985 0.116103 0.372442 1.064108 2.700031 6.089965 13.169233